Sportpark Ter Specke · Analysis updated 10:35 UTC
FC Lisse vs Westlandia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for FC Lisse and 0.91 for Westlandia, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives FC Lisse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FC Lisse win
66.3% probability
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Lisse home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Westlandia away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Lisse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 19% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for FC Lisse and 0.91 for Westlandia, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.8%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–07.9%
Recent form
FC Lisse
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dongen · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs GOES · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rijnvogels · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gemert · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs EVV · 1-1 (D)
Westlandia
- 2025-09-02T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lisse · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-08-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 0-2 (L)
- 2024-06-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Achilles Veen · 0-2 (L)
- 2024-05-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Achilles Veen · 0-3 (L)
- 2023-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RKAV Volendam · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Lisse win, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.