Right to Dream Park · Referee M. Redder · Analysis updated 14:52 UTC
FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.03 for Brondby, a combined total of 1.97. That distribution gives Brondby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.5% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Nordsjaelland home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Brondby away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brondby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 33% / 31% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.03 for Brondby, a combined 1.97 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.2%
- 0–013.9%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.2%
- 0–27.3%
Recent form
FC Nordsjaelland
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Malmo FF · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Viborg · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vatanspor · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 2-2 (D)
Brondby
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-17T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Randers FC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Nordsjaelland · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Viborg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.