FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 0.80 for CSA Steaua Bucureşti, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives FC Politehnica Timisoara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Politehnica Timisoara win

72.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.38 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Politehnica Timisoara home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Politehnica Timisoara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 17% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 0.80 for CSA Steaua Bucureşti, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Politehnica Timisoara win72%

Draw17%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

2–011.8%
1–09.9%
2–19.4%
3–09.3%
1–17.9%

Recent form

FC Politehnica Timisoara

2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Bacau · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-17T09:30:00.000Z · A vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Popești-Leordeni · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ştefăneşti · 2-1 (W)

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

2026-10-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ştefăneşti · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistriţa · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Bihor Oradea · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga II table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slatina	11	8	1	2	9	25
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	10	7	3	0	12	24
3	Popești-Leordeni	11	7	3	1	11	24
4	Chindia Targoviste	10	7	0	3	12	21
5	Cetatea Suceava	11	6	3	2	10	21
6	Metalul Buzău	11	6	3	2	6	21
7	CSM Reşiţa	11	7	0	4	3	21
8	Concordia	11	6	1	4	8	19
9	FC Bacau	10	5	3	2	13	18
10	Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	8	18
11	Gloria Bistriţa	11	6	0	5	1	18
12	CS Afumati	10	5	2	3	2	17
13	Metaloglobus	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	10	3	2	5	-6	11
16	Unirea Slobozia	11	2	2	7	-1	8
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	10	1	4	5	-8	7
18	CS Dinamo București	11	2	1	8	-16	7
19	CSM Satu Mare	10	0	6	4	-7	6
20	Viitorul Şelimbăr	10	1	3	6	-13	6
21	Ştefăneşti	11	2	0	9	-19	6
22	Dumbrăviţa	11	0	3	8	-16	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Politehnica Timisoara win, at 72.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.