· Analysis updated 04:12 UTC
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs Dumbrăviţa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 0.91 for Dumbrăviţa, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives FC Politehnica Timisoara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FC Politehnica Timisoara win
61.6% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Politehnica Timisoara home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dumbrăviţa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Politehnica Timisoara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 21% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 0.91 for Dumbrăviţa, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.1%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–07.1%
Recent form
FC Politehnica Timisoara
- 2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Bacau · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T09:30:00.000Z · A vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Popești-Leordeni · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ştefăneşti · 2-1 (W)
Dumbrăviţa
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs CSM Reşiţa · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slatina · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Bacau · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Politehnica Timisoara win, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.