Stadionul Municipal · Analysis updated 14:15 UTC
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs Rapid Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 1.26 for Rapid, a combined total of 2.79. That distribution gives FC Politehnica Timisoara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.8% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Politehnica Timisoara home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rapid away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Politehnica Timisoara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 1.26 for Rapid, a combined 2.79 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.4%
Recent form
FC Politehnica Timisoara
- 2026-09-19T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Popești-Leordeni · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ştefăneşti · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · A vs CSM Satu Mare · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Rapid · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Targu Mures · 3-0 (W)
Rapid
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Genoa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.