Superbet Arena - Giulesti · Analysis updated 07:58 UTC
FC Rapid Bucuresti W vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for FC Rapid Bucuresti W and 4.50 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined total of 5.98. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win
84.9% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 7% / 8% / 85% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.47 goals for FC Rapid Bucuresti W and 4.50 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined 5.98 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 90% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
15%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
93%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–46.4%
- 1–55.8%
- 1–35.7%
- 2–44.7%
- 0–44.3%
Recent form
FC Rapid Bucuresti W
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-7 (L)
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 84.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.
A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.