Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · Matchweek 213:30

3 – 0

Saturday, 8 August 2026

KreuzlingenWWDDL

Lipo Park · Analysis updated 15:02 UTC

FC Schaffhausen vs Kreuzlingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for FC Schaffhausen and 2.00 for Kreuzlingen, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Kreuzlingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kreuzlingen win

49.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FC Schaffhausen home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kreuzlingen away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kreuzlingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 29% / 22% / 49% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 2.00 for Kreuzlingen, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Schaffhausen win29%
Draw22%
Kreuzlingen win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.1%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–36.0%

Recent form

FC Schaffhausen

  • 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 6-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Bulle · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Lugano II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brühl · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs YF Juventus · 0-3 (L)

Kreuzlingen

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs YF Juventus · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zürich II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bellinzona · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Grand-Saconnex · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Breitenrain · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Promotion table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Biel-Bienne118211326
2FC Schaffhausen118121625
3Cham11713522
4Bulle11632821
5Paradiso116231120
6YF Juventus11614219
7Grand-Saconnex11605418
8Basel II11515016
9Amical Saint-Prex11515-616
10Kreuzlingen11434115
11Zürich II11434015
12Breitenrain11434-215
13Brühl11425-214
14Young Boys II11326-911
15Lugano II11308-89
16Bavois11227-48
17Luzern II11218-127
18Bellinzona11128-175

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kreuzlingen win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.