Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · Matchweek 613:30

0 – 3

Saturday, 5 September 2026

YF JuventusWWDWW

· Analysis updated 16:58 UTC

FC Schaffhausen vs YF Juventus Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.12 for YF Juventus, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives FC Schaffhausen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Schaffhausen win

61.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FC Schaffhausen home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • YF Juventus away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Schaffhausen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.20 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.12 for YF Juventus, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FC Schaffhausen win62%
Draw20%
YF Juventus win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 3–17.2%

Recent form

FC Schaffhausen

  • 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 6-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Bulle · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Lugano II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brühl · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs YF Juventus · 0-3 (L)

YF Juventus

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grand-Saconnex · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kreuzlingen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Paradiso · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cham · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Schaffhausen · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Promotion table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Biel-Bienne118211326
2FC Schaffhausen118121625
3Cham11713522
4Bulle11632821
5Paradiso116231120
6YF Juventus11614219
7Grand-Saconnex11605418
8Basel II11515016
9Amical Saint-Prex11515-616
10Kreuzlingen11434115
11Zürich II11434015
12Breitenrain11434-215
13Brühl11425-214
14Young Boys II11326-911
15Lugano II11308-89
16Bavois11227-48
17Luzern II11218-127
18Bellinzona11128-175

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Schaffhausen win, at 61.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.