FC Sion vs Bate Borisov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for FC Sion and 1.00 for Bate Borisov, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Bate Borisov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Sion win32%

Draw32%

Bate Borisov win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score38%

Correct score

0–014.6%
0–114.6%
1–013.5%
1–113.5%
0–27.3%

Why the model likes this

FC Sion home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bate Borisov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 32% / 32% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.93 goals for FC Sion and 1.00 for Bate Borisov, a combined 1.93 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 38%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

FC Sion

2026-08-13T18:15:00.000Z · H vs FC Noah · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Noah · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 4-0 (W)

Bate Borisov

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.