Stade de Tourbillon · Analysis updated 11:29 UTC
FC Sion vs Servette FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for FC Sion and 1.40 for Servette FC, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives FC Sion the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
FC Sion win
52.5% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Sion home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Servette FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Sion to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 21% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for FC Sion and 1.40 for Servette FC, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–06.7%
- 2–26.5%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
FC Sion
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Cham · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Servette FC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Saint Etienne · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Zurich · 1-1 (D)
Servette FC
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Sion · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Annecy · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BSC Young Boys · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Thun · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Lausanne · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 28 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Servette FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | FC ST. Gallen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Sion win, at 52.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.