FC Vaduz vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for FC Vaduz and 1.37 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives FC Vaduz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

FC Vaduz win

50.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Vaduz win50%

Draw22%

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–19.9%
2–19.4%
1–07.2%
2–06.8%
1–26.8%

Why the model likes this

FC Vaduz home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Vaduz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for FC Vaduz and 1.37 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

FC Vaduz

2026-08-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Inter Turku · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Sion · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Turku · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC ST. Gallen · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes · 2-0 (W)

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

2026-07-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-23T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Vaduz · 0-4 (L)
2026-07-16T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Mornar · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mornar · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Santa Coloma · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.