Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu · Referee George Catalin Gaman, Romania · Analysis updated 14:33 UTC
FC Voluntari vs FC Botosani Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for FC Voluntari and 1.93 for FC Botosani, a combined total of 3.01. That distribution gives FC Botosani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FC Botosani win
57.2% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Voluntari home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Botosani away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Botosani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 21% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for FC Voluntari and 1.93 for FC Botosani, a combined 3.01 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–36.4%
Recent form
FC Voluntari
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 2-2 (D)
FC Botosani
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-24T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-17T18:30:00.000Z · A vs FCSB · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Rapid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Botosani | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Uta Arad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -18 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Botosani win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.