Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu · Referee I. Kovacs · Analysis updated 15:35 UTC
FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for FC Voluntari and 1.20 for Petrolul Ploiesti, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives FC Voluntari the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.1% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Voluntari home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Petrolul Ploiesti away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.9%
- 2–07.6%
Recent form
FC Voluntari
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 2-2 (D)
Petrolul Ploiesti
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FCSB · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Universitatea Cluj · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-14T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-2 Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I)
- 2024-04-06T14:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 4-0 Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I)
- 2023-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I)
- 2023-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 2-0 Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I)
- 2023-04-24T17:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 2-2 Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I)
- 2022-11-26T10:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-11-26T10:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-10-29T16:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-1 Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I)
- 2022-07-18T18:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-0 Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I)
- 2022-03-26T00:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-1 Petrolul Ploiesti (Friendlies Clubs)
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | FCSB | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Uta Arad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Farul Constanta | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.