Stadionul Anghel Iordănescu · Referee Florin Andrei, Romania · Analysis updated 13:39 UTC
FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for FC Voluntari and 1.27 for Universitatea Cluj, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Universitatea Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.2% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.27
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Voluntari home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Universitatea Cluj away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–28.3%
Odds vs model — value finder
Bookmaker prices with the margin removed (1X2 overround 10.1%), compared with our model probability.
Best value: Both teams to score — No at 2.20 (model 51.3% vs market 42.4%, edge +8.9 pts).
| Market | Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Fair odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | NoValue | 2.20 | 42.4% | 51.3% | 1.95 | +8.9 |
| Double chance | Home/Draw | 1.57 | 60.1% | 60.4% | 1.66 | +0.3 |
| Match result | Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 27.6% | 3.62 | +0.1 |
| Match result | Away | 2.30 | 39.5% | 39.6% | 2.53 | +0.1 |
| Match result | Home | 2.75 | 33.0% | 32.8% | 3.05 | -0.2 |
| Double chance | Home/Away | 1.30 | 72.6% | 72.4% | 1.38 | -0.2 |
| Double chance | Draw/Away | 1.40 | 67.4% | 67.2% | 1.49 | -0.2 |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.62 | 57.6% | 48.7% | 2.05 | -8.9 |
Market % has the bookmaker margin removed so it is comparable with the model. Edge is model % minus market %; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Recent form
FC Voluntari
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 2-2 (D)
Universitatea Cluj
- 2026-10-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Voluntari · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Universitatea Craiova · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-2 Universitatea Cluj (Liga I)
- 2024-05-12T18:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-1 Universitatea Cluj (Liga I)
- 2024-03-08T18:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-0 Universitatea Cluj (Liga I)
- 2023-11-05T13:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 2-1 Universitatea Cluj (Liga I)
- 2023-05-01T12:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 3-2 Universitatea Cluj (Liga I)
- 2023-01-20T14:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-2 Universitatea Cluj (Liga I)
- 2022-08-26T15:45:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-0 Universitatea Cluj (Liga I)
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Rapid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Botosani | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Uta Arad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -18 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.