FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for FC Voluntari and 1.53 for Universitatea Craiova, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Universitatea Craiova the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Universitatea Craiova win

49.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Voluntari home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Universitatea Craiova away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FC Voluntari win25%

Draw26%

Universitatea Craiova win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals47%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–112.2%
0–112.0%
1–29.3%
0–29.2%
1–08.0%

Recent form

FC Voluntari

2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 2-2 (D)

Universitatea Craiova

2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-04T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Slatina · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FCSB · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-3 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2024-02-26T18:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-2 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2023-10-07T15:45:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-0 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2023-02-26T15:45:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-0 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2022-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-1 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2022-04-30T17:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2022-03-18T18:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 3-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2021-12-11T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2021-08-09T18:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-3 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
2021-01-26T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Universitatea Craiova win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.