Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu · Analysis updated 00:09 UTC
FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for FC Voluntari and 1.72 for Universitatea Craiova, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Universitatea Craiova the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Universitatea Craiova win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Voluntari home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Universitatea Craiova away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.6%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
FC Voluntari
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FCSB · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-2 (L)
Universitatea Craiova
- 2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanta · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Getafe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Slatina · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-3 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2024-02-26T18:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-2 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2023-10-07T15:45:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-0 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2023-02-26T15:45:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-0 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2022-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-1 Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2022-04-30T17:00:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2022-03-18T18:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 3-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2021-12-11T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2021-08-09T18:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 0-3 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
- 2021-01-26T15:30:00.000Z · FC Voluntari 1-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (Liga I)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Universitatea Craiova win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.