Complexe Sportif Didier Eloy · Analysis updated 06:12 UTC
Feignies-Aulnoye vs Colmar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Feignies-Aulnoye and 0.50 for Colmar, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives Feignies-Aulnoye the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Feignies-Aulnoye win
66.9% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Feignies-Aulnoye home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Colmar away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Feignies-Aulnoye to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 23% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Feignies-Aulnoye and 0.50 for Colmar, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.8%
- 2–016.0%
- 0–011.1%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–09.1%
Recent form
Feignies-Aulnoye
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Le Pays du Valois · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Biesheim · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 1-1 (D)
Colmar
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Chambly Thelle FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Pays du Valois · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Biesheim · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04T17:00:00.000Z · Feignies-Aulnoye 1-1 Colmar (National 2 - Group B)
- 2025-11-08T15:00:00.000Z · Feignies-Aulnoye 1-3 Colmar (National 2 - Group B)
- 2024-04-20T15:00:00.000Z · Feignies-Aulnoye 3-3 Colmar (National 2 - Group D)
- 2023-12-02T17:00:00.000Z · Feignies-Aulnoye 2-1 Colmar (National 2 - Group D)
National 2 - Group A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Maur Lusitanos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Chambly Thelle FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Creteil | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Colombes 92 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Furiani-Agliani | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Feignies-Aulnoye | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Biesheim | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Dieppe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Le Pays du Valois | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Bastia-Borgo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Haguenau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Montlouis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Epinal | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Colmar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chantilly | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Feignies-Aulnoye win, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.