France · National 2 - Group B · Group B - 3016:00

1 – 1

Saturday, 16 May 2026

Complexe Sportif Didier Eloy · Analysis updated 23:10 UTC

Feignies-Aulnoye vs Haguenau Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Feignies-Aulnoye and 0.99 for Haguenau, a combined total of 2.29. That distribution gives Feignies-Aulnoye the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

71.6% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 0.99

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Feignies-Aulnoye home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Haguenau away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Feignies-Aulnoye to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 28% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Feignies-Aulnoye and 0.99 for Haguenau, a combined 2.29 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Feignies-Aulnoye win44%
Draw28%
Haguenau win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–013.2%
  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 2–08.6%

Recent form

Feignies-Aulnoye

  • 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Colombes 92 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Le Pays du Valois · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Biesheim · 1-1 (D)

Haguenau

  • 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Epinal · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing Colombes 92 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Chantilly · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Nancy · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National 2 - Group B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Angoulême7520717
2Bayonne7511616
3Avranches7421714
4Lorient II7403612
5Granville7322011
6Dinan Léhon7322011
7Saint-Malo7322311
8Stade Briochin7241210
9Le Poiré sur Vie7304-19
10Tarbes7232-19
11Saint-Colomban Locminé722308
12Les Herbiers7223-28
13Saumur7214-57
14Pontivy GSI7043-54
15Châteaubriant7043-74
16Chauray7016-101

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.