Campo Nº. 2 Complexo Desportivo Feirense · Analysis updated 18:26 UTC
Feirense U19 vs Oliveirense U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Feirense U19 and 1.28 for Oliveirense U19, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Feirense U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Feirense U19 win
45.0% probability
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Feirense U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Oliveirense U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Feirense U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.60 goals for Feirense U19 and 1.28 for Oliveirense U19, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–07.2%
Recent form
Feirense U19
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vizela U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Famalicão U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Academico Viseu U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Braga U19 · 0-2 (L)
Oliveirense U19
- 2025-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-7 (L)
- 2025-04-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Famalicão U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-04-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chaves U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2025-03-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Feirense U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-03-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Nogueirense U19 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2025-03-30T15:00:00.000Z · Feirense U19 0-1 Oliveirense U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z · Feirense U19 3-1 Oliveirense U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2025-01-05T15:00:00.000Z · Feirense U19 0-2 Oliveirense U19 (Júniores U19)
- 2024-09-28T14:00:00.000Z · Feirense U19 0-1 Oliveirense U19 (Júniores U19)
Júniores U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 |
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Porto U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente U19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 3 | Santa Clara U19 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | Torreense U19 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Oriental U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Sporting Braga U19 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Casa Pia U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Feirense U19 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Mafra U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Famalicão U19 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | SC Farense U19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | União Leiria U19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
| 10 | Vizela U19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca U19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Feirense U19 win, at 45.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.