· Analysis updated 23:28 UTC
Felixstowe & Walton Utd vs Braintree Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Felixstowe & Walton Utd and 1.55 for Braintree, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Felixstowe & Walton Utd the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.4% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Felixstowe & Walton Utd home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Braintree away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Felixstowe & Walton Utd to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Felixstowe & Walton Utd and 1.55 for Braintree, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–06.9%
- 0–16.8%
Recent form
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Wingate & Finchley · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wingate & Finchley · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Braintree · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Needham Market · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mildenhall Town · 3-0 (W)
Braintree
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Farnham Town · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs West Ham United U21 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Truro City · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Walton & Hersham · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · Felixstowe & Walton Utd 2-1 Braintree (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.