England · Non League Div One - Isthmian North · Isthmian North - 3914:00

2 – 0

Monday, 6 April 2026

The Martello Ground · Analysis updated 16:35 UTC

Felixstowe & Walton Utd vs Lowestoft Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Felixstowe & Walton Utd and 0.92 for Lowestoft Town, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Felixstowe & Walton Utd the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Felixstowe & Walton Utd win

53.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Felixstowe & Walton Utd home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Lowestoft Town away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Felixstowe & Walton Utd to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 25% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.63 goals for Felixstowe & Walton Utd and 0.92 for Lowestoft Town, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Felixstowe & Walton Utd win54%
Draw25%
Lowestoft Town win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–012.7%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–07.8%

Recent form

Felixstowe & Walton Utd

  • 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Wingate & Finchley · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wingate & Finchley · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Braintree · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Needham Market · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mildenhall Town · 3-0 (W)

Lowestoft Town

  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AFC Sudbury · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Brightlingsea Regent · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grays Athletic · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Heybridge Swifts · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Non League Div One - Isthmian North table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maldon & Tiptree4230756497
2Felixstowe & Walton Utd4230755397
3Waltham Abbey42248103880
4Stanway Rovers42221192677
5Redbridge42218131871
6Gorleston4222515371
7Bowers & Pitsea421911123268
8Wroxham42191013767
9Witham Town42171114962
10Walthamstow42161016658
11Tilbury42151314358
12Concord Rangers4216818-256
13Cambridge City42141414956
14Brightlingsea Regent4216818-256
15Newmarket Town4215918054
16Lowestoft Town4214721-2249
17Takeley4213821-2947
18Grays Athletic4212822-1644
19Mildenhall Town4212525-2841
20Downham Town4281321-2937
21Heybridge Swifts427728-5628
22Brantham Athletic424434-8416

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Felixstowe & Walton Utd win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.