Ferencvarosi TC vs Vasas Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC and 1.18 for Vasas, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Ferencvarosi TC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Ferencvarosi TC or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ferencvarosi TC win44%

Draw26%

Vasas win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Ferencvarosi TC home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ferencvarosi TC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Ferencvarosi TC and 1.18 for Vasas, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Ferencvarosi TC

2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gornik Zabrze · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Madrid · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-05T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Gornik Zabrze · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Vasas · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Twente · 2-2 (D)

Vasas

Head-to-head

2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 0-0 Vasas (NB I)
2023-04-22T17:30:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Vasas (NB I)
2023-01-28T18:30:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 0-0 Vasas (NB I)
2022-08-31T18:30:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Vasas (NB I)
2022-02-09T19:00:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 2-0 Vasas (Magyar Kupa)
2018-05-12T17:30:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 Vasas (NB I)
2017-12-09T18:30:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 2-0 Vasas (NB I)
2017-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 5-2 Vasas (NB I)
2017-05-31T17:00:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 Vasas (Magyar Kupa)
2017-04-15T18:30:00.000Z · Ferencvarosi TC 1-2 Vasas (NB I)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.