Estadio Emilio Ghezzi · Analysis updated 16:33 UTC
Fernando De La Mora vs 12 de Junio VH Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Fernando De La Mora and 1.34 for 12 de Junio VH, a combined total of 2.32. That distribution gives 12 de Junio VH the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
72.6% probability
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fernando De La Mora home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
12 de Junio VH away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 12 de Junio VH to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 27% / 28% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for Fernando De La Mora and 1.34 for 12 de Junio VH, a combined 2.32 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.2%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–09.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–28.8%
Recent form
Fernando De La Mora
- 2026-10-20T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Paraguari AC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 3 de Noviembre · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-05T22:30:00.000Z · H vs General Caballero · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-28T22:15:00.000Z · A vs Guairena FC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Libertad Asuncion · 1-1 (D)
12 de Junio VH
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportivo Carapeguá · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-24T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Paraguari AC · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-14T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Encarnación · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Santani · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-07-31T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Fernando De La Mora · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division Intermedia table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 57 |
| 2 | General Caballero | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 54 |
| 4 | Paraguari AC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 47 |
| 5 | SOL DE America | 30 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Independiente F.b.c. | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 43 |
| 7 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 43 |
| 8 | Benjamín Aceval | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Resistencia | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Atlético Tembetary | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 37 |
| 11 | Deportivo Capiata | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Fernando De La Mora | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 29 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | Encarnación | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 72.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.