· Analysis updated 17:51 UTC
Feulen vs Alisontia Steinsel Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Feulen and 2.00 for Alisontia Steinsel, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Feulen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.6% probability
Expected goals
2.25 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Feulen home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Alisontia Steinsel away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Feulen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 20% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Feulen and 2.00 for Alisontia Steinsel, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.2%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.4%
- 1–26.4%
- 3–15.4%
Recent form
Feulen
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Boevange / Attert · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Jeunesse Esch · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Rosport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-03-04T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Alisontia Steinsel · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bettembourg · 2-1 (W)
Alisontia Steinsel
- 2026-03-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Feulen · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yellow Boys Weiler · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Mertzig · 3-2 (W)
- 2024-11-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Differdange 03 · 0-1 (L)
- 2024-10-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Alliance Aischdall · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.