· Analysis updated 00:13 UTC
Feulen vs Bettembourg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Feulen and 4.00 for Bettembourg, a combined total of 7.00. That distribution gives Bettembourg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 95% for over 2.5 goals and 91% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 4%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bettembourg win
56.6% probability
Expected goals
3.00 – 4.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Feulen home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bettembourg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bettembourg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 29% / 15% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for Feulen and 4.00 for Bettembourg, a combined 7.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–34.4%
- 2–44.4%
- 3–34.4%
- 3–44.4%
- 2–53.5%
Recent form
Feulen
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Boevange / Attert · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Jeunesse Esch · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Rosport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-03-04T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Alisontia Steinsel · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bettembourg · 2-1 (W)
Bettembourg
- 2026-07-14T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Swift Hesperange · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Feulen · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jeunesse Junglinster · 6-2 (W)
- 2025-05-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Atert Bissen · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-05-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs F91 Dudelange · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · Feulen 2-1 Bettembourg (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bettembourg win, at 56.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 91% and over 2.5 goals at 95%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.