Luxembourg · Cup · Quarter-finals18:00

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Wednesday, 22 April 2026

· Analysis updated 21:46 UTC

Feulen vs Victoria Rosport Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Feulen and 1.56 for Victoria Rosport, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Feulen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Feulen home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Victoria Rosport away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Feulen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 23% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.72 goals for Feulen and 1.56 for Victoria Rosport, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Feulen win42%
Draw23%
Victoria Rosport win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.5%

Recent form

Feulen

  • 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Boevange / Attert · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Jeunesse Esch · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Rosport · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-03-04T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Alisontia Steinsel · 1-0 (W)
  • 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bettembourg · 2-1 (W)

Victoria Rosport

  • 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Swift Hesperange · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sanem · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Etzella Ettelbruck · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs US Hostert · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.