Feyenoord W vs PEC Zwolle W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Feyenoord W and 2.55 for PEC Zwolle W, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives PEC Zwolle W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

PEC Zwolle W win

58.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 2.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Feyenoord W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
PEC Zwolle W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Feyenoord W win23%

Draw18%

PEC Zwolle W win59%

Double chance 1X

41%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals78%

Over 3.5 goals59%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

1–28.3%
1–37.0%
2–26.5%
1–16.5%
2–35.5%

Recent form

Feyenoord W

2026-10-04T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Ajax W · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs PEC Zwolle W · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Utrecht W · 3-0 (W)

PEC Zwolle W

2026-10-04T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Heerenveen W · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Feyenoord W · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-20T10:15:00.000Z · H vs De Graafschap W · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-13T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Utrecht W · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-06T14:45:00.000Z · H vs ADO Den Haag W · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-02-22T15:45:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-0 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2025-12-07T11:15:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-0 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2025-03-23T13:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 6-0 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2024-11-09T15:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 2-0 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2024-03-10T13:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 4-0 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2023-11-26T15:45:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 0-2 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2023-04-28T17:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-1 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2022-10-23T10:15:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 0-0 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2022-04-22T17:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 2-2 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)
2021-12-10T18:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-0 PEC Zwolle W (Eredivisie Women)

Eredivisie Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Twente W	6	6	0	0	24	18
2	Ajax W	6	5	0	1	11	15
3	AZ W	6	4	0	2	-4	12
4	PSV/Eindhoven W	6	3	1	2	6	10
5	Heerenveen W	6	2	1	3	-2	7
6	ADO Den Haag W	6	2	1	3	-10	7
7	PEC Zwolle W	6	2	0	4	-4	6
8	De Graafschap W	6	2	0	4	-5	6
9	Feyenoord W	6	2	0	4	-8	6
10	Utrecht W	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is PEC Zwolle W win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.