Sportcomplex Varkenoord 1 · Analysis updated 18:05 UTC
Feyenoord W vs PSV/Eindhoven W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Feyenoord W and 1.50 for PSV/Eindhoven W, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives PSV/Eindhoven W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
PSV/Eindhoven W win
48.8% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Feyenoord W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
PSV/Eindhoven W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.3%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Feyenoord W
- 2026-10-04T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Ajax W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs PEC Zwolle W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Utrecht W · 3-0 (W)
PSV/Eindhoven W
- 2026-10-18T10:15:00.000Z · A vs Ajax W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:45:00.000Z · A vs ADO Den Haag W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs De Graafschap W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-06T10:15:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 0-6 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2026-02-01T15:45:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 2-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2025-12-21T15:45:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-1 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2025-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 2-3 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2024-12-21T15:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-4 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2024-03-24T13:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-1 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2023-11-17T18:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 0-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2023-03-31T17:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-1 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2022-11-27T13:30:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-3 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2022-05-08T10:15:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 1-2 PSV/Eindhoven W (Eredivisie Women)
Eredivisie Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Ajax W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | AZ W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 12 |
| 4 | PSV/Eindhoven W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Heerenveen W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | ADO Den Haag W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 7 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 8 | De Graafschap W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | Feyenoord W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 10 | Utrecht W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is PSV/Eindhoven W win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.