Sportcomplex Varkenoord 1 · Analysis updated 17:14 UTC
Feyenoord W vs Vålerenga W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Feyenoord W and 3.00 for Vålerenga W, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Vålerenga W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vålerenga W win
72.6% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Feyenoord W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vålerenga W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vålerenga W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 13% / 15% / 73% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Feyenoord W and 3.00 for Vålerenga W, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
27%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.0%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–26.4%
- 0–36.4%
- 1–46.0%
Recent form
Feyenoord W
- 2026-10-04T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Ajax W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs PEC Zwolle W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Utrecht W · 3-0 (W)
Vålerenga W
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs LSK Kvinner W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Feyenoord W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Molde W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Feyenoord W · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · Feyenoord W 4-1 Vålerenga W (UEFA Europa Cup - Women)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vålerenga W win, at 72.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.