Finland · Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 1615:30

00

Sunday, 19 July 2026

Project Liv Arena · Referee Joona Kontinen, Finland · Analysis updated 02:39 UTC

FF Jaro vs Inter Turku Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for FF Jaro and 2.00 for Inter Turku, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Inter Turku the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Inter Turku to Win

54.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.27 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FF Jaro win24%
Draw22%
Inter Turku win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 1–36.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Inter Turku away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Inter Turku to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 24% / 22% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.27 goals for FF Jaro and 2.00 for Inter Turku, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

FF Jaro

    Inter Turku

    • 2026-08-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Vaduz · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lahti · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VPS · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Başakşehir · 2-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.