Kaplakriki · Analysis updated 06:52 UTC
FH W vs Apollon Limassol W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for FH W and 1.33 for Apollon Limassol W, a combined total of 3.19. That distribution gives FH W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FH W win
49.8% probability
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FH W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FH W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 23% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for FH W and 1.33 for Apollon Limassol W, a combined 3.19 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.8%
Recent form
FH W
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Limassol W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Limassol W · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Breidablik W · 2-3 (L)
- 2025-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Víkingur Reykjavík W · 3-2 (W)
Apollon Limassol W
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FH W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FH W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vllaznia W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hibernian W · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · FH W 0-1 Apollon Limassol W (UEFA Europa Cup - Women)
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · FH W 2-0 Apollon Limassol W (UEFA Europa Cup - Women)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FH W win, at 49.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.