First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.19 expected goals for First Vienna and 0.96 for Floridsdorfer AC, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives First Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

First Vienna win

65.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.19 – 0.96

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

First Vienna home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Floridsdorfer AC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates First Vienna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 19% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.19 goals for First Vienna and 0.96 for Floridsdorfer AC, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

First Vienna win65%

Draw19%

Floridsdorfer AC win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

2–010.3%
2–19.9%
1–09.4%
1–19.0%
3–07.5%

Recent form

First Vienna

2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs WSPG Wels · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Wien II · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Salzburg · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SKU Amstetten · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-21T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Admira Wacker · 1-0 (W)

Floridsdorfer AC

2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Admira Wacker · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Salzburg · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Liefering · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC BW Linz	10	8	1	1	20	25
2	First Vienna	10	8	1	1	12	25
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	10	6	1	3	4	19
4	Admira Wacker	10	6	0	4	3	18
5	SKU Amstetten	10	4	5	1	4	17
6	Austria Salzburg	10	5	1	4	3	16
7	Wacker Innsbruck	10	4	2	4	1	14
8	FC Liefering	10	4	2	4	-2	14
9	Floridsdorfer AC	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Voitsberg	10	3	3	4	0	12
11	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	SKN ST. Polten	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Sturm Graz II	10	2	2	6	-8	8
14	WSPG Wels	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	10	2	1	7	-7	7
16	Rapid Wien II	10	2	1	7	-12	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is First Vienna win, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.