Generali Arena · Analysis updated 10:17 UTC
First Vienna W vs Austria Wien W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for First Vienna W and 2.85 for Austria Wien W, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Austria Wien W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Austria Wien W win
81.3% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 2.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
First Vienna W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Wien W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Wien W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 7% / 12% / 81% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for First Vienna W and 2.85 for Austria Wien W, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
19%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.7%
- 0–311.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–47.9%
Recent form
First Vienna W
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Rapid W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Salzburg W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten W · 1-4 (L)
Austria Wien W
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Austria Wien W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22 |
| 3 | St. Pölten W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 4 | Rheindorf Altach W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Salzburg W | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | LASK W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -21 | 5 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Wien W win, at 81.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.