· Analysis updated 14:28 UTC
First Vienna W vs SK Rapid W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.91 expected goals for First Vienna W and 1.41 for SK Rapid W, a combined total of 3.31. That distribution gives First Vienna W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
First Vienna W win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
First Vienna W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates First Vienna W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.91 goals for First Vienna W and 1.41 for SK Rapid W, a combined 3.31 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–06.9%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
Recent form
First Vienna W
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Wien W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Südburgenland W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 3-3 (D)
SK Rapid W
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Südburgenland W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna W · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · First Vienna W 3-3 SK Rapid W (Frauenliga)
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Pölten W | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 22 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz W | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19 |
| 4 | Rheindorf Altach W | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Salzburg W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 13 |
| 6 | LASK W | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 6 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -18 | 5 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -19 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is First Vienna W win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.