FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.30 for Inter Club d'Escaldes, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives FK Crvena Zvezda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FK Crvena Zvezda home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Inter Club d'Escaldes away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Crvena Zvezda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.30 for Inter Club d'Escaldes, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FK Crvena Zvezda win41%

Draw26%

Inter Club d'Escaldes win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.1%
1–09.3%
2–18.7%
0–18.4%
1–27.8%

Recent form

FK Crvena Zvezda

2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki 1923 · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnicki NIS · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Železničar Pančevo · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnik Surdulica · 0-0 (D)

Inter Club d'Escaldes

2026-10-10T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ordino · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodez · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranger's · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carroi · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.