Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 514:30

4 – 2

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 16:21 UTC

FK Majevica Lopare vs Famos Vojkovići Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for FK Majevica Lopare and 1.03 for Famos Vojkovići, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives FK Majevica Lopare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FK Majevica Lopare win

59.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FK Majevica Lopare home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Famos Vojkovići away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Majevica Lopare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 21% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for FK Majevica Lopare and 1.03 for Famos Vojkovići, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FK Majevica Lopare win60%
Draw21%
Famos Vojkovići win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 3–16.6%

Recent form

FK Majevica Lopare

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Leotar · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Laktaši · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Potkozarje · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rudar Prijedor · 3-0 (W)

Famos Vojkovići

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leotar · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Laktaši · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar97202123
2Laktaši97111722
3Drina Zvornik94321115
4FK Majevica Lopare9432515
5Kozara Gradiška9432215
6Potkozarje9423014
7FK Romanija Pale9405-812
8Rudar Prijedor9324-311
9Velež Nevesinje9324-911
10Famos Vojkovići9315-410
11Slavija9243-510
12Sutjeska Foča9225-68
13Omarska9126-85
14Zvijezda 099117-134

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FK Majevica Lopare win, at 59.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.