Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 814:00

5 – 1

Saturday, 26 September 2026

· Analysis updated 01:07 UTC

FK Majevica Lopare vs FK Romanija Pale Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for FK Majevica Lopare and 0.98 for FK Romanija Pale, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives FK Majevica Lopare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FK Majevica Lopare win

68.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.38 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FK Majevica Lopare home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FK Romanija Pale away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Majevica Lopare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 18% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.38 goals for FK Majevica Lopare and 0.98 for FK Romanija Pale, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FK Majevica Lopare win68%
Draw18%
FK Romanija Pale win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 2–09.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 1–18.1%
  • 3–07.8%

Recent form

FK Majevica Lopare

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Leotar · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 5-1 (W)

FK Romanija Pale

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Majevica Lopare · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Potkozarje · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Famos Vojkovići · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Zvijezda 09 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kozara Gradiška · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar1310302633
2Laktaši1310122931
3Drina Zvornik136341421
4Potkozarje12624220
5FK Majevica Lopare12543619
6Kozara Gradiška13544119
7FK Romanija Pale13607-618
8Famos Vojkovići12516-516
9Rudar Prijedor12435-415
10Slavija13364-515
11Sutjeska Foča12327-911
12Velež Nevesinje13328-2311
13Omarska12237-119
14Zvijezda 0913229-158

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FK Majevica Lopare win, at 68.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.