Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 714:00

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Wednesday, 23 September 2026

LaktašiLWLWW

· Analysis updated 04:20 UTC

FK Majevica Lopare vs Laktaši Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for FK Majevica Lopare and 1.80 for Laktaši, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Laktaši the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Laktaši win

47.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FK Majevica Lopare home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Laktaši to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 30% / 23% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.40 goals for FK Majevica Lopare and 1.80 for Laktaši, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

FK Majevica Lopare win30%
Draw23%
Laktaši win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 0–26.6%

Recent form

FK Majevica Lopare

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Leotar · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 5-1 (W)

Laktaši

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1st League - RS table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Leotar1310302633
    2Laktaši1310122931
    3Drina Zvornik136341421
    4Potkozarje12624220
    5FK Majevica Lopare12543619
    6Kozara Gradiška13544119
    7FK Romanija Pale13607-618
    8Famos Vojkovići12516-516
    9Rudar Prijedor12435-415
    10Slavija13364-515
    11Sutjeska Foča12327-911
    12Velež Nevesinje13328-2311
    13Omarska12237-119
    14Zvijezda 0913229-158

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Laktaši win, at 47.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

    A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.