Serbia · Super Liga · Regular Season - 519:00

19:00 UTC

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Stadion Partizana · Referee D. Nikolic · Analysis updated 03:50 UTC

FK Partizan vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for FK Partizan and 1.21 for Radnicki 1923, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives FK Partizan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

FK Partizan to Win

50.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.21

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FK Partizan win51%
Draw23%
Radnicki 1923 win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–26.6%

Why the model likes this

  • FK Partizan home form

    6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Partizan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.77 goals for FK Partizan and 1.21 for Radnicki 1923, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

FK Partizan

  • 2026-08-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · A vs UNA Strassen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 3-1 (W)

Radnicki 1923

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super Liga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Cukaricki5311610
    2FK Crvena Zvezda330099
    3Vojvodina430159
    4IMT Novi Beograd430159
    5Železničar Pančevo312015
    6Radnik Surdulica412105
    7OFK Beograd5122-35
    8FK Partizan311114
    9Mladost Lucani404004
    10Novi Pazar4112-44
    11Radnicki 19233102-13
    12Radnicki NIS3102-23
    13Macva5104-93
    14Zemun4013-81

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.