Serbia · Super Liga · Matchweek 915:00
FK PartizanDLLWL

2 – 3

Sunday, 13 September 2026

VojvodinaDWWWW

Stadion Partizana · Referee P. Ilic · Analysis updated 15:40 UTC

FK Partizan vs Vojvodina Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for FK Partizan and 1.78 for Vojvodina, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Vojvodina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Vojvodina win

49.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FK Partizan home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Vojvodina away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

FK Partizan win27%
Draw23%
Vojvodina win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 2–16.7%

Recent form

FK Partizan

  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rodina Moskva · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnik Surdulica · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vojvodina · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Beograd · 3-1 (W)

Vojvodina

  • 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Banja Luka · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zrinjski · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Partizan · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemun · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-04-22T15:00:00.000Z · FK Partizan 0-0 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2026-03-08T17:00:00.000Z · FK Partizan 0-3 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2025-10-04T18:30:00.000Z · FK Partizan 1-0 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2025-05-25T17:00:00.000Z · FK Partizan 3-2 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2025-02-08T17:30:00.000Z · FK Partizan 0-0 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2024-09-01T19:05:00.000Z · FK Partizan 0-0 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2024-05-02T14:55:00.000Z · FK Partizan 2-3 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2023-12-02T14:30:00.000Z · FK Partizan 3-1 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2023-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · FK Partizan 2-0 Vojvodina (Super Liga)
  • 2023-05-21T17:00:00.000Z · FK Partizan 2-2 Vojvodina (Super Liga)

Super Liga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda109102128
2Vojvodina107121122
3Radnicki 19239522817
4Mladost Lucani10442-216
5IMT Novi Beograd10433515
6Železničar Pančevo9423414
7Radnik Surdulica10352-114
8Novi Pazar10343-113
9Cukaricki10325-611
10OFK Beograd10235-89
11FK Partizan9225-28
12Radnicki NIS9225-58
13Macva10226-118
14Zemun10037-133

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Vojvodina win, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.