· Analysis updated 12:55 UTC
FK Pirmasens U19 vs Elversberg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for FK Pirmasens U19 and 1.45 for Elversberg U19, a combined total of 3.77. That distribution gives FK Pirmasens U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FK Pirmasens U19 win
57.1% probability
Expected goals
2.32 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FK Pirmasens U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Elversberg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Pirmasens U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.32 goals for FK Pirmasens U19 and 1.45 for Elversberg U19, a combined 3.77 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.0%
- 1–17.7%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–06.2%
Recent form
FK Pirmasens U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Schott Mainz U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
Elversberg U19
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FK Pirmasens U19 win, at 57.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.