· Analysis updated 16:15 UTC
FK Pirmasens U19 vs Sandhausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for FK Pirmasens U19 and 1.28 for Sandhausen U19, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives FK Pirmasens U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FK Pirmasens U19 win
48.6% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FK Pirmasens U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sandhausen U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Pirmasens U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 24% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for FK Pirmasens U19 and 1.28 for Sandhausen U19, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.9%
Recent form
FK Pirmasens U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Schott Mainz U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
Sandhausen U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · FK Pirmasens U19 2-4 Sandhausen U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2026-03-15T12:00:00.000Z · FK Pirmasens U19 2-1 Sandhausen U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FK Pirmasens U19 win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.