Macedonia · Second League · Matchweek 713:00

5 – 1

Saturday, 10 October 2026

KamjaniWDLWL

· Analysis updated 17:24 UTC

FK Rabotnicki vs Kamjani Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for FK Rabotnicki and 0.77 for Kamjani, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives FK Rabotnicki the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FK Rabotnicki win

51.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.77

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kamjani away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Rabotnicki to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 28% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.40 goals for FK Rabotnicki and 0.77 for Kamjani, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Match result (1X2)

FK Rabotnicki win52%
Draw28%
Kamjani win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 1–015.9%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 0–18.8%

Recent form

FK Rabotnicki

    Kamjani

    • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Rabotnicki · 1-5 (L)
    • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-09-19T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Detonit Plachkovica · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Makedonija GjP · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Novaci · 1-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Second League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Ohrid97111322
    2Pelister96301321
    3FK Rabotnicki86021118
    4Akademija Pandev8431915
    5Kamjani9423-114
    6Teteks9342313
    7Belasica9270213
    8Makedonija GjP9324-211
    9Kozuv Gevgelija9243-510
    10Detonit Plachkovica9234-49
    11Novaci9225-58
    12Gorno Lisiče9144-17
    13Osogovo9135-56
    14Shkupi 19279009-280

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is FK Rabotnicki win, at 51.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

    A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.