Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - Relegation Group 415:00

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Saturday, 23 May 2026

· Analysis updated 14:23 UTC

FK Vlasenica vs Famos Vojkovići Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for FK Vlasenica and 1.33 for Famos Vojkovići, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Famos Vojkovići the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FK Vlasenica home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Famos Vojkovići away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Famos Vojkovići to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 35% / 27% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for FK Vlasenica and 1.33 for Famos Vojkovići, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FK Vlasenica win35%
Draw27%
Famos Vojkovići win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

FK Vlasenica

  • 2026-06-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zvijezda 09 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Omarska · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Famos Vojkovići · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Velež Nevesinje · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 1-1 (D)

Famos Vojkovići

  • 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Omarska · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rudar Prijedor · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sutjeska Foča · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar1310302633
2Laktaši1310122931
3Drina Zvornik136341421
4Potkozarje13625120
5FK Majevica Lopare12543619
6Kozara Gradiška13544119
7Rudar Prijedor13535-318
8FK Romanija Pale13607-618
9Famos Vojkovići13526-517
10Slavija13364-515
11Sutjeska Foča12327-911
12Velež Nevesinje13328-2311
13Omarska13247-1110
14Zvijezda 0913229-158

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.