Serbia · Prva Liga · Matchweek 1717:00
FK VozdovacLDWLD

17:00 UTC

Saturday, 7 November 2026

Borac CacakDDWLD

· Analysis updated 13:35 UTC

FK Vozdovac vs Borac Cacak Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.19 for Borac Cacak, a combined total of 2.39. That distribution gives FK Vozdovac the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FK Vozdovac home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Borac Cacak away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Vozdovac to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 28% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.20 goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.19 for Borac Cacak, a combined 2.39 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

FK Vozdovac win37%
Draw28%
Borac Cacak win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

FK Vozdovac

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Loznica · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Vršac · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Semendrija 1924 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Napredak · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · 2-0 (W)

Borac Cacak

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs TSC Backa Topola · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Teleoptik · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalac GM · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Bor 1919 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prva Liga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1TSC Backa Topola159601933
2Javor158611930
3Borac Cacak15933730
4OFK Vršac15825426
5Semendrija 192415744625
6Dubočica15645-122
7Napredak15645-122
8Loznica15483-220
9FK Vozdovac15546119
10FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV15546-419
11Naftagas15465518
12Metalac GM15537-418
13Jedinstvo Ub15429-814
14Teleoptik15348-813
15Grafičar153210-1111
16OFK Bor 1919152211-228

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.