· Analysis updated 16:57 UTC
FK Vozdovac vs TSC Backa Topola Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.50 for TSC Backa Topola, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives TSC Backa Topola the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
TSC Backa Topola win
47.6% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FK Vozdovac home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
TSC Backa Topola away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–08.2%
Recent form
FK Vozdovac
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Loznica · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Vršac · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Semendrija 1924 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Napredak · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · 2-0 (W)
TSC Backa Topola
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Bor 1919 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Cacak · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubočica · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Naftagas · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 2-3 TSC Backa Topola (Prva Liga)
- 2024-03-29T17:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 0-2 TSC Backa Topola (Super Liga)
- 2023-10-21T17:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 1-1 TSC Backa Topola (Super Liga)
- 2023-07-01T16:30:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 0-1 TSC Backa Topola (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-05-13T18:30:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 0-2 TSC Backa Topola (Super Liga)
- 2023-04-11T16:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 1-3 TSC Backa Topola (Super Liga)
- 2023-01-12T00:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 1-0 TSC Backa Topola (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 0-3 TSC Backa Topola (Super Liga)
- 2022-06-17T00:00:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 0-3 TSC Backa Topola (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-05-01T16:30:00.000Z · FK Vozdovac 1-1 TSC Backa Topola (Super Liga)
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSC Backa Topola | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Borac Cacak | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Javor | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 27 |
| 4 | Semendrija 1924 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | OFK Vršac | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Napredak | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Vozdovac | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Loznica | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Dubočica | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Metalac GM | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Grafičar | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 11 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is TSC Backa Topola win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.