Burundi · Ligue A · Matchweek 2913:00

5 – 1

Sunday, 26 April 2026

· Analysis updated 21:55 UTC

Flambeau du Centre vs Green Farmers FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Flambeau du Centre vs Green Farmers FC in the Ligue A: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Flambeau du Centre home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Flambeau du Centre to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Flambeau du Centre and 1.18 for Green Farmers FC, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Flambeau du Centre or Green Farmers FC yet, so these numbers are a Ligue A scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Flambeau du Centre win44%
Draw26%
Green Farmers FC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Flambeau du Centre

  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Messager Ngozi · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Never Give Up Academy · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Muzinga · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bumamuru · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Royal Vision · 1-2 (L)

Green Farmers FC

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Royal Vision96301921
    2Muzinga9531618
    3Rukinzo64201114
    4Le Messager Ngozi6411213
    5Olympic Star7331312
    6Aigle Noir8332212
    7Ngozi City8404-212
    8Bumamuru8314110
    9Musongati8314-110
    10Vital'O7232-59
    11Inter Star6132-16
    12Flambeau du Centre7133-26
    13Never Give Up Academy7124-55
    14Kayanza United8053-65
    15Young Star8125-155
    16Panthere Noir6015-71

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.