Terrain Rue des Produits · Analysis updated 16:26 UTC
Flénu vs Braine Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Flénu and 1.50 for Braine, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Flénu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.0% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Flénu home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Braine away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Flénu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Flénu and 1.50 for Braine, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Flénu
- 2026-09-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Onhaye · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RWDM · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Verviers · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ganshoren · 4-2 (W)
Braine
- 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Acren-Lessines · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stockay-Warfusée · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jette | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braine | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ganshoren | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | AS Eupen II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | RUS Binche | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stade Verviers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Richelle United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Huy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Calamine | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ostiches | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.