Floridsdorfer AC vs FC Liefering Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.88 for FC Liefering, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives FC Liefering the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Floridsdorfer AC home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Liefering to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 33% / 22% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.60 goals for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.88 for FC Liefering, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Floridsdorfer AC win33%

Draw22%

FC Liefering win45%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

1–19.3%
1–28.7%
2–17.4%
2–27.0%
0–15.8%

Recent form

Floridsdorfer AC

2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Admira Wacker · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Salzburg · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Liefering · 4-0 (W)

FC Liefering

2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-21T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-17T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC BW Linz · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz II · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs WSG Wattens · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC BW Linz	10	8	1	1	20	25
2	First Vienna	10	8	1	1	12	25
3	Austria Vienna (Am)	10	6	1	3	4	19
4	Admira Wacker	10	6	0	4	3	18
5	SKU Amstetten	10	4	5	1	4	17
6	Austria Salzburg	10	5	1	4	3	16
7	Wacker Innsbruck	10	4	2	4	1	14
8	FC Liefering	10	4	2	4	-2	14
9	Floridsdorfer AC	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Voitsberg	10	3	3	4	0	12
11	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	SKN ST. Polten	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Sturm Graz II	10	2	2	6	-8	8
14	WSPG Wels	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	10	2	1	7	-7	7
16	Rapid Wien II	10	2	1	7	-12	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.