FAC-Platz · Analysis updated 15:08 UTC
Floridsdorfer AC vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.45 for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Floridsdorfer AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Floridsdorfer AC home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Floridsdorfer AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 24% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.45 for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–16.7%
Recent form
Floridsdorfer AC
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Liefering · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Wacker Innsbruck · 2-0 (W)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Vienna (Am) · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Voitsberg · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Kapfenberg · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-07-31T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Wacker Innsbruck · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.